Parametres |
October |
November |
December |
January |
February |
March |
for non-vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
Inflow |
forecast | m3/sec |
208.0 |
208.0 |
208.0 |
180.0 |
180.0 |
180.0 |
149.0 |
149.0 |
149.0 |
140.0 |
140.0 |
140.0 |
137.0 |
137.0 |
137.0 |
146.0 |
146.0 |
146.0 |
Mm3 |
2520.2 |
| actual | m3/sec |
254.6 |
222.3 |
222.7 |
205.7 |
193.8 |
192.2 |
183.5 |
180.1 |
145.4 |
123.8 |
156.7 |
155.7 |
140.0 |
132.8 |
146.9 |
159.0 |
167.9 |
176.1 |
Mm3 |
2764.6 |
|
| variance | % |
-22.4 |
-6.9 |
-7.1 |
-14.3 |
-7.7 |
-6.8 |
-23.2 |
-20.9 |
2.4 |
11.6 |
-11.9 |
-11.2 |
-2.2 |
3.1 |
-7.2 |
-8.9 |
-15.0 |
-20.6 |
% |
-9.7 |
|
Mm3 |
-40.3 |
-52.6 |
-66.6 |
-88.8 |
-100.7 |
-111.3 |
-141.1 |
-168.0 |
-164.5 |
-150.5 |
-164.9 |
-179.9 |
-182.5 |
-178.8 |
-185.7 |
-196.9 |
-215.8 |
-244.4 |
Mm3 |
-244.4 |
||
Volume |
planned | Mm3 |
17385.5 |
17220.7 |
17017.6 |
16791.7 |
16522.5 |
16210.2 |
15874.0 |
15516.1 |
15113.9 |
14718.9 |
14328.3 |
13893.8 |
13500.6 |
13115.2 |
12813.7 |
12473.2 |
12147.4 |
11796.5 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
14750.0 |
14758.0 |
14745.0 |
14721.0 |
14598.0 |
14421.0 |
14343.0 |
14171.0 |
13914.0 |
13725.0 |
13578.0 |
13342.0 |
13187.0 |
12982.0 |
12852.0 |
12656.0 |
12445.0 |
12331.0 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
15.2 |
14.3 |
13.4 |
12.3 |
11.6 |
11.0 |
9.6 |
8.7 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
5.2 |
4.0 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
-0.3 |
-1.5 |
-2.5 |
-4.5 |
% |
||
Release |
planned | m3/sec |
362.0 |
397.0 |
420.0 |
440.0 |
490.0 |
540.0 |
537.0 |
562.0 |
571.0 |
597.0 |
592.0 |
597.0 |
592.0 |
583.0 |
573.0 |
540.0 |
523.0 |
515.0 |
Mm3 |
8231.1 |
| actual | m3/sec |
186.3 |
220.0 |
222.4 |
221.2 |
326.8 |
350.2 |
262.6 |
404.7 |
412.6 |
354.5 |
330.4 |
402.3 |
317.0 |
375.9 |
342.4 |
375.0 |
401.3 |
291.8 |
Mm3 |
5064.6 |
|
| variance | % |
48.5 |
44.6 |
47.1 |
49.7 |
33.3 |
35.1 |
51.1 |
28.0 |
27.7 |
40.6 |
44.2 |
32.6 |
46.5 |
35.5 |
40.2 |
30.6 |
23.3 |
43.3 |
% |
38.5 |
|
Mm3 |
151.8 |
304.7 |
492.6 |
681.6 |
822.6 |
986.6 |
1223.7 |
1359.6 |
1510.1 |
1719.6 |
1945.6 |
2130.7 |
2368.3 |
2547.2 |
2706.6 |
2849.2 |
2954.3 |
3166.4 |
Mm3 |
3166.4 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Toktogul water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Toktogul water reservoir |
 |
 |
| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |