Volumes of releases, lateral inflow and water withdrawals at the Toktagul-Kayrakum site.Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1992

Parametres
April
May
June
July
August
September
For vegetation
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
Release from reservoir
forecast
m3/sec
314.0
333.0
364.0
379.0
400.0
460.0
545.0
568.0
582.0
600.0
560.4
531.0
593.0
627.0
466.0
340.0
246.0
257.0
Mm3
7180.8
actual
m3/sec
297.7
269.6
304.7
325.9
328.7
398.2
517.9
530.9
549.9
584.1
560.4
450.5
565.9
603.3
423.4
296.1
206.5
234.2
Mm3
6544.9
variance
%
5.2
19.0
16.3
14.0
17.8
13.4
5.0
6.5
5.5
2.7
0.0
15.2
4.6
3.8
9.1
12.9
16.1
8.9
%
8.9
Mm3
14.1
68.9
120.1
166.0
227.6
286.3
309.7
341.8
369.5
383.3
383.3
459.7
483.1
503.6
544.1
582.1
616.2
635.9
Mm3
635.9
Lateral inflow
forecast
m3/sec
453.0
453.0
453.0
504.0
504.0
504.0
407.0
407.0
407.0
338.0
338.0
338.0
337.0
337.0
337.0
303.0
303.0
303.0
Mm3
6172.3
actual
m3/sec
486.9
486.9
486.9
435.7
435.7
435.7
410.7
410.7
410.7
463.5
463.5
463.5
405.1
405.1
405.1
390.0
390.0
390.0
Mm3
6830.9
variance
%
-7.5
-7.5
-7.5
13.6
13.6
13.6
-0.9
-0.9
-0.9
-37.1
-37.1
-37.1
-20.2
-20.2
-20.2
-28.7
-28.7
-28.7
%
-10.7
Mm3
-29.3
-58.6
-87.9
-28.9
30.2
95.1
91.9
88.7
85.5
-23.0
-131.4
-250.7
-309.5
-368.3
-433.1
-508.2
-583.4
-658.6
Mm3
-658.6
Water withdrawal, including
forecast
m3/sec
209.7
230.0
239.8
251.4
269.5
287.1
327.3
384.3
420.3
461.0
472.6
473.8
456.2
437.0
374.8
274.0
211.9
159.5
Mm3
5230.3
actual
m3/sec
292.8
314.1
271.1
207.7
195.5
203.5
340.6
429.7
468.8
490.5
491.6
482.6
438.4
445.7
429.1
294.6
211.6
148.8
Mm3
5415.7
variance
%
-39.7
-36.6
-13.1
17.4
27.5
29.1
-4.0
-11.8
-11.5
-6.4
-4.0
-1.9
3.9
-2.0
-14.5
-7.5
0.2
6.7
%
-3.5
Mm3
-71.8
-144.5
-171.6
-133.9
-69.9
9.5
-1.9
-41.2
-83.0
-108.5
-124.9
-133.4
-118.0
-125.5
-177.0
-194.9
-194.6
-185.4
Mm3
-185.4
Kyrgyzstan
forecast
m3/sec
5.0
6.2
7.0
9.0
10.3
10.8
12.2
14.1
15.5
16.3
16.9
17.1
16.7
16.4
15.0
11.4
9.5
6.8
Mm3
190.4
actual
m3/sec
4.0
5.7
8.1
6.6
8.6
9.8
12.3
14.2
14.7
14.7
14.7
15.7
15.4
15.5
15.5
11.7
6.1
5.0
Mm3
174.6
variance
%
20.3
8.1
-15.5
26.1
16.1
9.1
-0.7
-0.8
5.3
10.1
13.1
8.2
7.9
5.7
-3.5
-2.3
36.0
26.9
%
8.3
Mm3
0.9
1.3
0.4
2.4
3.8
4.8
4.7
4.6
5.3
6.7
8.6
10.0
11.1
11.9
11.4
11.2
14.1
15.7
Mm3
15.7
Tadjikistan
forecast
m3/sec
23.4
27.8
29.6
31.0
34.7
35.2
39.5
42.0
42.6
46.4
46.0
45.2
47.6
45.8
39.3
33.2
26.9
22.7
Mm3
579.6
actual
m3/sec
35.8
46.0
44.9
40.0
41.7
36.1
51.1
58.7
59.7
60.2
62.1
59.8
56.7
53.1
49.5
34.9
28.9
19.9
Mm3
737.6
variance
%
-53.3
-65.7
-51.5
-29.2
-20.3
-2.6
-29.3
-39.7
-40.0
-29.9
-35.0
-32.4
-19.1
-15.8
-25.9
-5.0
-7.6
12.2
%
-27.3
Mm3
-10.8
-26.5
-39.7
-47.5
-53.6
-54.5
-64.4
-78.9
-93.6
-105.6
-119.5
-133.4
-141.2
-147.5
-157.2
-158.6
-160.4
-158.0
Mm3
-158.0
Uzbekistan
forecast
m3/sec
181.3
196.1
203.2
211.4
224.6
241.1
275.6
328.2
362.2
398.3
409.7
411.6
391.9
374.8
320.5
229.3
175.5
130.1
Mm3
4460.4
actual
m3/sec
253.0
262.4
218.2
161.1
145.1
157.6
277.2
356.8
394.4
415.6
414.8
407.2
366.3
377.1
364.1
248.1
176.6
123.9
Mm3
4503.5
variance
%
-39.6
-33.9
-7.4
23.8
35.4
34.6
-0.6
-8.7
-8.9
-4.3
-1.2
1.1
6.5
-0.6
-13.6
-8.2
-0.6
4.7
%
-1.0
Mm3
-61.9
-119.3
-132.3
-88.8
-20.2
59.2
57.8
33.1
5.2
-9.7
-14.1
-9.9
12.1
10.1
-31.3
-47.5
-48.4
-43.1
Mm3
-43.1
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of release, lateral inflow and water withdrawal
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of water withdrawal by states
Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted]