Operative modes of the Toktogul water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1992

Parametres
April
May
June
July
August
September
For vegetation
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
Inflow
forecast
m3/sec
254.0
325.0
427.0
500.0
653.0
782.0
788.0
794.0
811.0
867.0
920.0
768.0
630.0
514.0
489.0
466.0
390.0
353.0
Mm3
9447.8
actual
m3/sec
209.1
288.1
519.3
332.0
624.1
740.0
833.6
770.7
777.2
841.8
900.6
709.0
566.9
472.1
460.6
436.1
347.0
308.2
Mm3
8922.9
variance
%
17.7
11.4
-21.6
33.6
4.4
5.4
-5.8
2.9
4.2
2.9
2.1
7.7
10.0
8.2
5.8
6.4
11.0
12.7
%
5.6
Mm3
38.8
70.7
-9.1
136.1
161.0
201.0
161.6
181.7
210.9
232.7
249.4
305.5
360.0
396.2
423.2
449.0
486.2
524.9
Mm3
524.9
Volume
planned
Mm3
13061.1
13053.2
13106.6
13210.0
13427.5
13732.3
13941.1
14135.3
14332.1
14559.2
14866.4
15087.8
15114.6
15011.7
15027.9
15130.8
15249.2
15326.2
Mm3
actual
Mm3
12241.0
12232.0
12409.0
12438.0
12684.0
13092.0
13325.0
13600.0
13780.0
14010.0
14414.0
14649.0
14651.0
14546.0
14578.0
14654.0
14770.0
14837.0
Mm3
variance
%
6.3
6.3
5.3
5.8
5.5
4.7
4.4
3.8
3.9
3.8
3.0
2.9
3.1
3.1
3.0
3.2
3.1
3.2
%
Release
planned
m3/sec
314.0
333.0
364.0
379.0
400.0
460.0
545.0
568.0
582.0
600.0
560.4
531.0
593.0
627.0
466.0
340.0
246.0
257.0
Mm3
7180.8
actual
m3/sec
297.7
269.6
304.7
325.9
328.7
398.2
517.9
530.9
549.9
584.1
560.4
450.5
565.9
603.3
423.4
296.1
206.5
234.2
Mm3
6544.9
variance
%
5.2
19.0
16.3
14.0
17.8
13.4
5.0
6.5
5.5
2.7
0.0
15.2
4.6
3.8
9.1
12.9
16.1
8.9
%
8.9
Mm3
14.1
68.9
120.1
166.0
227.6
286.3
309.7
341.8
369.5
383.3
383.3
459.7
483.1
503.6
544.1
582.1
616.2
635.9
Mm3
635.9
Diagram of inflow and release in the Toktogul water reservoir
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Toktogul water reservoir
Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted]