Operative modes of the Nurek water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for non-vegetation period 1993-1994

Parametres
October
November
December
January
February
March
for non-vegetation
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
Inflow forecast
m3/sec
450.0
366.0
304.0
293.0
276.0
267.0
220.0
238.0
220.0
231.0
210.0
196.0
177.0
175.0
177.0
224.0
257.0
276.0
Mm3
3992.7
actual
m3/sec
415.5
341.1
264.0
254.2
244.8
237.8
232.4
216.6
208.3
198.3
179.8
179.5
193.7
197.3
201.5
202.9
239.3
239.3
Mm3
3710.9
variance
%
7.7
6.8
13.2
13.2
11.3
10.9
-5.6
9.0
5.3
14.2
14.4
8.4
-9.4
-12.8
-13.8
9.4
6.9
13.3
%
7.1
Mm3
29.8
51.3
89.3
122.9
149.8
175.0
164.3
182.8
194.0
222.2
248.3
264.0
249.6
230.3
213.4
231.6
246.9
281.8
Mm3
281.8
Volume planned
Mm3
10483
10393
10215
10014
9787
9518
9219
8950
8683
8401
8050
7613
7181
6772
6366
6150
6042
5962
Mm3
actual
Mm3
10485
10404
10171
9999
9830
9596
9416
9135
8855
8553
8137
7756
7338
6868
6587
6352
6255
6165
Mm3
variance
%
0.0
-0.1
0.4
0.1
-0.4
-0.8
-2.1
-2.1
-2.0
-1.8
-1.1
-1.9
-2.2
-1.4
-3.5
-3.3
-3.5
-3.4
%
Release planned
m3/sec
470.0
470.0
510.0
526.0
538.0
550.0
566.0
550.0
529.0
557.0
616.0
656.0
677.0
649.0
604.0
474.0
382.0
368.0
Mm3
8447.8
actual
m3/sec
448.3
429.4
522.5
540.1
482.5
508.7
548.2
561.0
539.4
518.3
685.2
599.3
648.1
671.0
575.3
457.8
369.1
414.0
Mm3
8303.6
variance
%
4.6
8.6
-2.5
-2.7
10.3
7.5
3.1
-2.0
-2.0
6.9
-11.2
8.6
4.3
-3.4
4.8
3.4
3.4
-12.5
%
1.7
Mm3
18.7
53.8
41.9
29.7
77.7
113.4
128.7
119.2
109.4
142.8
83.0
136.9
161.9
142.9
162.8
176.8
187.9
144.2
Mm3
144.2
Diagram of inflow and release in the Nurek water reservoir
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Nurek water reservoir
Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted]