Operative modes of the Nurek water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for non-vegetation period 1993-1994
Parametres |
October |
November |
December |
January |
February |
March |
for non-vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
| Inflow | forecast | m3/sec |
450.0 |
366.0 |
304.0 |
293.0 |
276.0 |
267.0 |
220.0 |
238.0 |
220.0 |
231.0 |
210.0 |
196.0 |
177.0 |
175.0 |
177.0 |
224.0 |
257.0 |
276.0 |
Mm3 |
3992.7 |
| actual | m3/sec |
415.5 |
341.1 |
264.0 |
254.2 |
244.8 |
237.8 |
232.4 |
216.6 |
208.3 |
198.3 |
179.8 |
179.5 |
193.7 |
197.3 |
201.5 |
202.9 |
239.3 |
239.3 |
Mm3 |
3710.9 |
|
| variance | % |
7.7 |
6.8 |
13.2 |
13.2 |
11.3 |
10.9 |
-5.6 |
9.0 |
5.3 |
14.2 |
14.4 |
8.4 |
-9.4 |
-12.8 |
-13.8 |
9.4 |
6.9 |
13.3 |
% |
7.1 |
|
Mm3 |
29.8 |
51.3 |
89.3 |
122.9 |
149.8 |
175.0 |
164.3 |
182.8 |
194.0 |
222.2 |
248.3 |
264.0 |
249.6 |
230.3 |
213.4 |
231.6 |
246.9 |
281.8 |
Mm3 |
281.8 |
||
| Volume | planned | Mm3 |
10483 |
10393 |
10215 |
10014 |
9787 |
9518 |
9219 |
8950 |
8683 |
8401 |
8050 |
7613 |
7181 |
6772 |
6366 |
6150 |
6042 |
5962 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
10485 |
10404 |
10171 |
9999 |
9830 |
9596 |
9416 |
9135 |
8855 |
8553 |
8137 |
7756 |
7338 |
6868 |
6587 |
6352 |
6255 |
6165 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
-0.4 |
-0.8 |
-2.1 |
-2.1 |
-2.0 |
-1.8 |
-1.1 |
-1.9 |
-2.2 |
-1.4 |
-3.5 |
-3.3 |
-3.5 |
-3.4 |
% |
||
| Release | planned | m3/sec |
470.0 |
470.0 |
510.0 |
526.0 |
538.0 |
550.0 |
566.0 |
550.0 |
529.0 |
557.0 |
616.0 |
656.0 |
677.0 |
649.0 |
604.0 |
474.0 |
382.0 |
368.0 |
Mm3 |
8447.8 |
| actual | m3/sec |
448.3 |
429.4 |
522.5 |
540.1 |
482.5 |
508.7 |
548.2 |
561.0 |
539.4 |
518.3 |
685.2 |
599.3 |
648.1 |
671.0 |
575.3 |
457.8 |
369.1 |
414.0 |
Mm3 |
8303.6 |
|
| variance | % |
4.6 |
8.6 |
-2.5 |
-2.7 |
10.3 |
7.5 |
3.1 |
-2.0 |
-2.0 |
6.9 |
-11.2 |
8.6 |
4.3 |
-3.4 |
4.8 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
-12.5 |
% |
1.7 |
|
Mm3 |
18.7 |
53.8 |
41.9 |
29.7 |
77.7 |
113.4 |
128.7 |
119.2 |
109.4 |
142.8 |
83.0 |
136.9 |
161.9 |
142.9 |
162.8 |
176.8 |
187.9 |
144.2 |
Mm3 |
144.2 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Nurek water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Nurek water reservoir |
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| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |