Parametres |
October |
November |
December |
January |
February |
March |
for non-vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
Inflow |
forecast | m3/sec |
224.0 |
224.0 |
224.0 |
194.0 |
194.0 |
194.0 |
159.0 |
159.0 |
159.0 |
150.0 |
150.0 |
150.0 |
147.0 |
147.0 |
147.0 |
157.0 |
157.0 |
157.0 |
Mm3 |
2706.6 |
| actual | m3/sec |
258.6 |
257.0 |
243.3 |
214.8 |
216.6 |
211.0 |
194.6 |
183.2 |
179.4 |
177.0 |
173.2 |
172.1 |
171.5 |
172.7 |
171.1 |
175.6 |
176.4 |
191.6 |
Mm3 |
3096.7 |
|
| variance | % |
-15.4 |
-14.7 |
-8.6 |
-10.7 |
-11.6 |
-8.8 |
-22.4 |
-15.2 |
-12.8 |
-18.0 |
-15.5 |
-14.7 |
-16.7 |
-17.5 |
-16.4 |
-11.8 |
-12.4 |
-22.1 |
% |
-14.4 |
|
Mm3 |
-29.9 |
-58.4 |
-76.7 |
-94.7 |
-114.2 |
-128.9 |
-159.7 |
-180.6 |
-199.9 |
-223.3 |
-243.3 |
-264.3 |
-285.5 |
-307.7 |
-324.3 |
-340.4 |
-357.2 |
-390.1 |
Mm3 |
-390.1 |
||
Volume |
planned | Mm3 |
18174 |
18174 |
18174 |
18100 |
17970 |
17900 |
17690 |
17490 |
17388 |
17020 |
16880 |
16825 |
16540 |
16470 |
16359 |
16070 |
15930 |
15815 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
18130 |
18102 |
18028 |
17886 |
17763 |
17658 |
17455 |
17191 |
16936 |
16677 |
16392 |
16057 |
15758 |
15378 |
14999 |
14558 |
14203 |
13976 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
6.6 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
10.8 |
11.6 |
% |
||
Release |
planned | m3/sec |
200.0 |
200.0 |
200.0 |
300.0 |
300.0 |
300.0 |
350.0 |
350.0 |
350.0 |
360.0 |
360.0 |
360.0 |
340.0 |
340.0 |
340.0 |
360.0 |
360.0 |
360.0 |
Mm3 |
5001.7 |
| actual | m3/sec |
248.1 |
302.5 |
347.9 |
361.5 |
390.5 |
399.9 |
439.0 |
482.2 |
490.7 |
485.5 |
523.9 |
534.2 |
521.5 |
605.0 |
724.6 |
673.9 |
575.0 |
458.5 |
Mm3 |
7432.6 |
|
| variance | % |
-24.1 |
-51.3 |
-74.0 |
-20.5 |
-30.2 |
-33.3 |
-25.4 |
-37.8 |
-40.2 |
-34.9 |
-45.5 |
-48.4 |
-53.4 |
-77.9 |
-113.1 |
-87.2 |
-59.7 |
-27.3 |
% |
-48.6 |
|
Mm3 |
-41.6 |
-130.1 |
-270.7 |
-323.8 |
-402.0 |
-488.3 |
-565.2 |
-679.4 |
-813.2 |
-921.6 |
-1063.2 |
-1228.8 |
-1385.6 |
-1614.6 |
-1880.4 |
-2151.6 |
-2337.4 |
-2431.0 |
Mm3 |
-2431.0 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Toktogul water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Toktogul water reservoir |
 |
 |
| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |