Volumes of releases, lateral inflow and water withdrawals at the Kayrakum-Chardara site.Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1993

Parametres
April
May
June
July
August
September
For vegetation
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
Release from reservoir
 forecast
m3/sec
547.00
480.00
428.00
540.00
968.00
953.00
1165.00
827.00
722.00
800.00
838.00
840.00
797.00
730.00
588.00
488.00
331.00
302.00
Mm3
10870.9
actual
m3/sec
623.60
439.20
380.80
492.20
1046.90
877.45
1240.00
758.60
674.90
781.80
808.00
800.00
745.60
688.90
530.18
454.00
255.00
250.00
Mm3
10426.7
variance
%
-14.0
8.5
11.0
8.9
-8.2
7.9
-6.4
8.3
6.5
2.3
3.6
4.8
6.4
5.6
9.8
7.0
23.0
17.2
%
4.1
Mm3
-66.2
-30.9
9.8
51.1
-17.0
54.8
-10.0
49.1
89.8
105.5
131.4
169.4
213.8
249.4
304.3
333.7
399.3
444.3
Mm3
444.3
Lateral inflow
 forecast
m3/sec
317.00
317.00
317.00
358.00
358.00
358.00
268.00
268.00
268.00
225.00
225.00
225.00
208.00
208.00
208.00
214.00
214.00
214.00
Mm3
4189.6
actual
m3/sec
328.36
328.36
328.36
293.53
293.53
293.53
318.18
318.18
318.18
289.71
289.71
289.71
286.91
286.91
286.91
291.33
291.33
291.33
Mm3
4761.6
variance
%
-3.6
-3.6
-3.6
18.0
18.0
18.0
-18.7
-18.7
-18.7
-28.8
-28.8
-28.8
-37.9
-37.9
-37.9
-36.1
-36.1
-36.1
%
-13.7
Mm3
-9.8
-19.6
-29.4
26.3
82.0
143.2
99.9
56.5
13.2
-42.7
-98.7
-160.2
-228.3
-296.5
-371.5
-438.3
-505.1
-571.9
Mm3
-571.9
Water withdrawal, including
forecast
m3/sec
241.7
206.9
228.3
254.1
278.2
385.6
467.5
572.4
648.4
671.9
697.9
709.7
677.9
591.7
446.7
212.5
91.4
50.4
Mm3
6555.5
actual
m3/sec
199.8
309.5
293.8
146.5
124.8
248.5
362.3
458.3
591.1
703.5
760.7
775.4
724.3
674.6
532.2
360.5
179.1
170.4
Mm3
6713.8
variance
%
17.4
-49.6
-28.7
42.4
55.1
35.6
22.5
19.9
8.8
-4.7
-9.0
-9.3
-6.8
-14.0
-19.1
-69.6
-95.9
-238.0
%
-2.4
Mm3
36.2
-52.4
-109.0
-16.0
116.5
246.8
337.7
436.3
485.8
458.5
404.3
341.9
301.8
230.2
148.9
21.1
-54.6
-158.3
Mm3
-158.3
Kazakhstan
 forecast
m3/sec
0.00
0.00
20.00
25.00
25.00
30.00
45.00
55.00
65.00
75.00
100.00
110.00
110.00
100.00
80.00
33.00
0.00
0.00
Mm3
773.3
actual
m3/sec
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.49
11.85
23.94
27.96
36.36
53.97
69.81
85.47
105.53
109.45
106.53
77.28
41.98
9.35
1.57
Mm3
678.4
variance
%
    
100.0
86.0
52.6
20.2
37.9
33.9
17.0
6.9
14.5
4.1
0.5
-6.5
3.4
-27.2
    
%
12.3
Mm3
0.0
0.0
17.3
35.9
47.2
53.0
67.7
83.8
93.3
97.8
110.4
114.6
115.1
109.5
112.0
104.3
96.2
94.9
Mm3
94.9
Tadjikistan
 forecast
m3/sec
3.00
35.00
60.00
80.00
84.00
89.00
94.00
98.00
99.00
101.00
101.00
101.00
101.00
99.00
95.00
57.00
31.00
22.00
Mm3
1191.0
actual
m3/sec
0.60
29.71
42.05
36.50
37.96
59.95
81.22
96.02
100.24
109.79
114.22
117.09
115.50
111.79
105.64
97.11
72.49
48.97
Mm3
1214.0
variance
%
80.0
15.1
29.9
54.4
54.8
32.6
13.6
2.0
-1.3
-8.7
-13.1
-15.9
-14.4
-12.9
-11.2
-70.4
-133.8
-122.6
%
-1.9
Mm3
2.1
6.6
22.2
59.7
99.5
127.1
138.2
139.9
138.8
131.2
119.8
104.5
92.0
80.9
70.8
36.2
0.3
-23.0
Mm3
-23.0
Uzbekistan
 forecast
m3/sec
238.70
171.90
148.30
149.10
169.20
266.60
328.50
419.40
484.40
495.90
496.90
498.70
466.90
392.70
271.70
122.50
60.40
28.40
Mm3
4591.2
actual
m3/sec
199.15
279.81
251.79
106.47
74.99
164.59
253.11
325.90
436.88
523.89
560.96
552.77
499.37
456.27
349.25
221.36
97.21
119.83
Mm3
4821.3
variance
%
16.6
-62.8
-69.8
28.6
55.7
38.3
22.9
22.3
9.8
-5.6
-12.9
-10.8
-7.0
-16.2
-28.5
-80.7
-60.9
-321.9
%
-5.0
Mm3
34.2
-59.1
-148.5
-111.6
-30.2
66.7
131.8
212.6
253.7
229.5
174.1
122.8
94.7
39.8
-33.9
-119.3
-151.1
-230.1
Mm3
-230.1
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of release, lateral inflow and water withdrawal
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of water withdrawal by states
Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted]