Operative modes of the Nurek water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1993

Parametres
April
May
June
July
August
September
For vegetation
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
Inflow forecast
m3/sec
354.0
369.0
531.0
1077.0
1165.0
1372.0
1504.0
1822.0
2021.0
2072.0
1873.0
1814.0
1800.0
1158.0
1121.0
1106.0
885.0
855.0
Mm3
20156.9
actual
m3/sec
226.0
253.6
484.8
978.0
920.1
1296.9
1347.0
1761.0
1919.0
2148.0
1691.0
1700.0
1686.0
1030.0
1028.8
1021.9
771.2
771.2
Mm3
18521.7
variance
%
36.2
31.3
8.7
9.2
21.0
5.5
10.4
3.3
5.0
-3.7
9.7
6.3
6.3
11.1
8.2
7.6
12.9
9.8
%
8.1
Mm3
110.6
210.3
250.2
335.8
547.3
618.7
754.4
807.1
895.2
829.5
986.8
1095.1
1193.6
1304.2
1391.8
1464.5
1562.8
1635.2
Mm3
1635.2
Volume planned
Mm3
5945.1
5716.2
5544.2
5806.0
6130.9
6720.2
7325.0
8166.5
8740.2
8791.2
8969.1
9249.5
9779.1
9894.1
10132.6
10278.6
10297.6
10431.6
Mm3
actual
Mm3
6122.0
6031.0
6380.0
6858.0
7049.0
7646.0
8307.0
8999.0
9490.0
9627.0
9774.0
9881.0
10218.0
10304.0
10504.0
10506.0
10484.0
10494.0
Mm3
variance
%
-3.0
-5.5
-15.1
-18.1
-15.0
-13.8
-13.4
-10.2
-8.6
-9.5
-9.0
-6.8
-4.5
-4.1
-3.7
-2.2
-1.8
-0.6
%
Release planned
m3/sec
583.0
634.0
730.0
774.0
789.0
752.0
804.0
848.0
1357.0
2013.0
1667.0
1519.0
1187.0
1025.0
870.0
937.0
863.0
700.0
Mm3
15868.3
actual
m3/sec
512.4
560.6
650.7
694.5
688.0
624.5
756.2
769.1
1210.8
1929.5
1579.2
1391.9
1056.8
917.5
699.8
1022.4
807.6
567.4
Mm3
14437.9
variance
%
12.1
11.6
10.9
10.3
12.8
17.0
5.9
9.3
10.8
4.1
5.3
8.4
11.0
10.5
19.6
-9.1
6.4
18.9
%
9.0
Mm3
61.0
124.4
192.9
261.6
348.9
470.1
511.4
579.6
705.9
778.0
853.9
974.7
1087.2
1180.1
1341.8
1268.0
1315.9
1430.4
Mm3
1430.4
Diagram of inflow and release in the Nurek water reservoir
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Nurek water reservoir
Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted]