Operative modes of the Nurek water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1993
Parametres |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
For vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
| Inflow | forecast | m3/sec |
354.0 |
369.0 |
531.0 |
1077.0 |
1165.0 |
1372.0 |
1504.0 |
1822.0 |
2021.0 |
2072.0 |
1873.0 |
1814.0 |
1800.0 |
1158.0 |
1121.0 |
1106.0 |
885.0 |
855.0 |
Mm3 |
20156.9 |
| actual | m3/sec |
226.0 |
253.6 |
484.8 |
978.0 |
920.1 |
1296.9 |
1347.0 |
1761.0 |
1919.0 |
2148.0 |
1691.0 |
1700.0 |
1686.0 |
1030.0 |
1028.8 |
1021.9 |
771.2 |
771.2 |
Mm3 |
18521.7 |
|
| variance | % |
36.2 |
31.3 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
21.0 |
5.5 |
10.4 |
3.3 |
5.0 |
-3.7 |
9.7 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
11.1 |
8.2 |
7.6 |
12.9 |
9.8 |
% |
8.1 |
|
Mm3 |
110.6 |
210.3 |
250.2 |
335.8 |
547.3 |
618.7 |
754.4 |
807.1 |
895.2 |
829.5 |
986.8 |
1095.1 |
1193.6 |
1304.2 |
1391.8 |
1464.5 |
1562.8 |
1635.2 |
Mm3 |
1635.2 |
||
| Volume | planned | Mm3 |
5945.1 |
5716.2 |
5544.2 |
5806.0 |
6130.9 |
6720.2 |
7325.0 |
8166.5 |
8740.2 |
8791.2 |
8969.1 |
9249.5 |
9779.1 |
9894.1 |
10132.6 |
10278.6 |
10297.6 |
10431.6 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
6122.0 |
6031.0 |
6380.0 |
6858.0 |
7049.0 |
7646.0 |
8307.0 |
8999.0 |
9490.0 |
9627.0 |
9774.0 |
9881.0 |
10218.0 |
10304.0 |
10504.0 |
10506.0 |
10484.0 |
10494.0 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
-3.0 |
-5.5 |
-15.1 |
-18.1 |
-15.0 |
-13.8 |
-13.4 |
-10.2 |
-8.6 |
-9.5 |
-9.0 |
-6.8 |
-4.5 |
-4.1 |
-3.7 |
-2.2 |
-1.8 |
-0.6 |
% |
||
| Release | planned | m3/sec |
583.0 |
634.0 |
730.0 |
774.0 |
789.0 |
752.0 |
804.0 |
848.0 |
1357.0 |
2013.0 |
1667.0 |
1519.0 |
1187.0 |
1025.0 |
870.0 |
937.0 |
863.0 |
700.0 |
Mm3 |
15868.3 |
| actual | m3/sec |
512.4 |
560.6 |
650.7 |
694.5 |
688.0 |
624.5 |
756.2 |
769.1 |
1210.8 |
1929.5 |
1579.2 |
1391.9 |
1056.8 |
917.5 |
699.8 |
1022.4 |
807.6 |
567.4 |
Mm3 |
14437.9 |
|
| variance | % |
12.1 |
11.6 |
10.9 |
10.3 |
12.8 |
17.0 |
5.9 |
9.3 |
10.8 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
8.4 |
11.0 |
10.5 |
19.6 |
-9.1 |
6.4 |
18.9 |
% |
9.0 |
|
Mm3 |
61.0 |
124.4 |
192.9 |
261.6 |
348.9 |
470.1 |
511.4 |
579.6 |
705.9 |
778.0 |
853.9 |
974.7 |
1087.2 |
1180.1 |
1341.8 |
1268.0 |
1315.9 |
1430.4 |
Mm3 |
1430.4 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Nurek water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Nurek water reservoir |
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| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |