Parametres |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
For vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
Release from reservoir |
forecast | m3/sec |
1160.0 |
860.0 |
960.0 |
1290.0 |
2000.0 |
2540.0 |
3060.0 |
3340.0 |
3500.0 |
3511.8 |
3519.7 |
3280.0 |
2640.0 |
1990.0 |
1780.0 |
1510.0 |
1330.0 |
1070.0 |
Mm3 |
34647.7 |
| actual | m3/sec |
1154.2 |
527.5 |
581.3 |
1112.7 |
2239.6 |
2370.4 |
3209.5 |
3024.7 |
3483.0 |
3511.8 |
3519.7 |
3339.0 |
2437.9 |
1884.2 |
1420.6 |
1024.0 |
1159.0 |
821.5 |
Mm3 |
32429.0 |
|
| variance | % |
0.5 |
38.7 |
39.4 |
13.7 |
-12.0 |
6.7 |
-4.9 |
9.4 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-1.8 |
7.7 |
5.3 |
20.2 |
32.2 |
12.9 |
23.2 |
% |
6.4 |
|
Mm3 |
5.0 |
292.3 |
619.5 |
772.7 |
565.7 |
726.9 |
597.7 |
870.1 |
884.8 |
884.8 |
884.8 |
828.7 |
1003.4 |
1094.8 |
1436.3 |
1856.2 |
2004.0 |
2218.7 |
Mm3 |
2218.7 |
||
Lateral inflow |
forecast | m3/sec |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
Mm3 |
342.6 |
| actual | m3/sec |
21.1 |
21.4 |
50.5 |
13.8 |
15.2 |
27.0 |
14.0 |
10.0 |
12.2 |
22.0 |
22.0 |
19.5 |
20.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
11.8 |
11.4 |
13.8 |
Mm3 |
285.4 |
|
| variance | % |
15.6 |
14.4 |
-102.0 |
44.8 |
39.2 |
-8.0 |
30.0 |
50.0 |
39.0 |
-10.0 |
-10.0 |
2.5 |
0.0 |
55.0 |
50.0 |
41.0 |
43.0 |
31.0 |
% |
16.7 |
|
Mm3 |
3.4 |
6.5 |
-15.6 |
-5.9 |
2.6 |
0.7 |
5.9 |
14.5 |
21.3 |
19.5 |
17.8 |
18.3 |
18.3 |
27.8 |
37.3 |
44.4 |
51.8 |
57.2 |
Mm3 |
57.2 |
||
Water withdrawal, including |
forecast | m3/sec |
405.4 |
401.9 |
548.4 |
765.2 |
886.5 |
930.4 |
955.7 |
1075.1 |
1199.5 |
1463.6 |
1577.5 |
1528.5 |
1425.3 |
1329.4 |
970.4 |
525.8 |
152.0 |
13.0 |
Mm3 |
14253.0 |
| actual | m3/sec |
421.9 |
365.5 |
357.5 |
785.6 |
960.1 |
961.1 |
940.9 |
1081.5 |
1239.1 |
1552.8 |
1786.0 |
1761.7 |
1652.5 |
1585.3 |
1191.1 |
430.3 |
470.5 |
387.6 |
Mm3 |
15830.6 |
|
| variance | % |
-4.1 |
9.1 |
34.8 |
-2.7 |
-8.3 |
-3.3 |
1.5 |
-0.6 |
-3.3 |
-6.1 |
-13.2 |
-15.3 |
-15.9 |
-19.2 |
-22.7 |
18.2 |
-209.6 |
-2881.8 |
% |
-11.1 |
|
Mm3 |
-14.3 |
17.2 |
182.1 |
164.5 |
100.9 |
71.8 |
84.6 |
79.0 |
44.8 |
-32.3 |
-212.4 |
-434.1 |
-630.4 |
-851.4 |
-1061.2 |
-978.7 |
-1253.9 |
-1577.6 |
Mm3 |
-1577.6 |
||
Turkmenistan |
forecast | m3/sec |
242.4 |
128.4 |
141.4 |
187.2 |
213.5 |
236.4 |
218.7 |
280.1 |
336.5 |
407.6 |
464.5 |
458.5 |
429.0 |
391.4 |
335.6 |
286.5 |
61.7 |
0.0 |
Mm3 |
4253.0 |
| actual | m3/sec |
225.9 |
164.2 |
116.3 |
204.2 |
239.5 |
228.1 |
208.7 |
269.0 |
329.4 |
438.8 |
511.2 |
528.3 |
479.1 |
479.1 |
479.1 |
260.7 |
240.0 |
228.0 |
Mm3 |
4970.8 |
|
| variance | % |
6.8 |
-27.9 |
17.8 |
-9.1 |
-12.2 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
2.1 |
-7.7 |
-10.1 |
-15.2 |
-11.7 |
-22.4 |
-42.8 |
9.0 |
-289.0 |
% |
-16.9 |
||
Mm3 |
14.3 |
-16.7 |
5.0 |
-9.7 |
-32.1 |
-24.2 |
-15.6 |
-6.0 |
0.2 |
-26.8 |
-67.2 |
-133.5 |
-176.8 |
-252.6 |
-389.0 |
-366.7 |
-520.8 |
-717.8 |
Mm3 |
-717.8 |
||
Uzbekistan |
forecast | m3/sec |
163.0 |
273.5 |
407.0 |
578.0 |
673.0 |
694.0 |
737.0 |
795.0 |
863.0 |
1056.0 |
1113.0 |
1070.0 |
996.3 |
938.0 |
634.8 |
239.3 |
90.3 |
13.0 |
Mm3 |
10000.0 |
| actual | m3/sec |
196.0 |
201.3 |
241.2 |
581.4 |
720.6 |
733.0 |
732.2 |
812.5 |
909.7 |
1114.0 |
1274.8 |
1233.4 |
1173.4 |
1106.2 |
712.0 |
169.6 |
230.5 |
159.6 |
Mm3 |
10859.8 |
|
| variance | % |
-20.2 |
26.4 |
40.7 |
-0.6 |
-7.1 |
-5.6 |
0.7 |
-2.2 |
-5.4 |
-5.5 |
-14.5 |
-15.3 |
-17.8 |
-17.9 |
-12.2 |
29.1 |
-155.3 |
-1127.9 |
% |
-8.6 |
|
Mm3 |
-28.5 |
33.9 |
177.1 |
174.2 |
133.0 |
96.0 |
100.1 |
85.0 |
44.7 |
-5.5 |
-145.2 |
-300.5 |
-453.5 |
-598.8 |
-672.1 |
-611.9 |
-733.1 |
-859.8 |
Mm3 |
-859.8 |
||
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of release, lateral inflow and water withdrawal |
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of water withdrawal by states |
 |
 |
| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |