Volumes of releases, lateral inflow and water withdrawals at the Nurek-Tuyamuyn site.Comparison of planned and actual values for non-vegetation period 1994-1995

Parametres
October
November
December
January
February
March
for non-vegetation
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
Release from reservoir
 forecast
m3/sec
337.0
422.0
406.0
444.0
406.0
418.0
522.0
507.0
635.0
602.0
630.0
564.0
551.0
560.0
625.0
580.0
477.0
368.0
Mm3
7885.1
actual
m3/sec
348.6
443.2
423.1
458.0
419.1
434.2
551.5
528.3
665.3
619.1
651.7
584.6
485.1
585.2
667.0
599.4
501.0
380.5
Mm3
8136.1
variance
%
-3.4
-5.0
-4.2
-3.2
-3.2
-3.9
-5.7
-4.2
-4.8
-2.8
-3.4
-3.7
12.0
-4.5
-6.7
-3.3
-5.0
-3.4
%
-3.2
Mm3
-10.0
-28.3
-44.6
-56.7
-68.0
-82.0
-107.5
-125.9
-154.7
-169.4
-188.2
-207.8
-150.9
-172.6
-201.7
-218.4
-239.2
-251.0
Mm3
-251.0
Lateral inflow
 forecast
m3/sec
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
50.0
50.0
50.0
70.0
70.0
70.0
120.0
120.0
120.0
Mm3
1048.0
actual
m3/sec
56.3
49.2
47.0
43.7
41.3
39.0
37.3
36.7
33.5
42.1
47.1
48.6
51.0
81.0
120.3
136.9
144.9
140.1
Mm3
1035.8
variance
%
6.2
18.0
21.7
27.2
31.2
35.0
6.8
8.2
16.3
15.8
5.8
2.8
27.1
-15.7
-71.9
-14.1
-20.8
-16.8
%
1.2
Mm3
3.2
12.5
24.9
39.0
55.1
73.3
75.6
78.5
84.6
91.5
94.0
95.3
111.7
102.2
67.4
52.8
31.3
12.2
Mm3
12.2
Water withdrawal, including
forecast
m3/sec
913.0
856.3
740.6
695.0
616.0
570.8
513.7
508.5
536.9
606.2
720.9
736.0
718.8
862.5
905.7
926.5
977.4
956.5
Mm3
11644.3
actual
m3/sec
865.9
799.7
741.0
702.6
629.4
580.1
500.9
514.9
491.8
493.8
582.7
597.0
615.1
674.0
720.3
813.6
802.2
737.9
Mm3
10347.1
variance
%
5.2
6.6
-0.1
-1.1
-2.2
-1.6
2.5
-1.3
8.4
18.5
19.2
18.9
14.4
21.9
20.5
12.2
17.9
22.9
%
11.1
Mm3
40.7
89.6
89.2
82.7
71.1
63.0
74.1
68.5
111.3
208.4
327.8
459.9
549.5
712.4
840.5
938.1
1089.4
1297.2
Mm3
1297.2
Tadjikistan
 forecast
m3/sec
263.7
254.4
223.7
223.1
221.7
212.0
173.7
168.5
160.9
155.9
156.6
160.7
166.8
185.5
207.7
247.5
265.4
246.2
Mm3
3224.1
actual
m3/sec
203.5
171.4
142.1
143.7
133.0
121.1
88.9
100.0
87.2
70.6
70.1
69.2
59.5
54.9
51.7
71.7
71.7
72.2
Mm3
1563.2
variance
%
22.8
32.6
36.5
35.6
40.0
42.9
48.8
40.6
45.8
54.7
55.2
56.9
64.3
70.4
75.1
71.0
73.0
70.7
%
51.5
Mm3
52.0
123.7
201.3
269.9
346.5
425.1
498.3
557.4
627.4
701.1
775.9
862.8
955.5
1068.4
1176.2
1328.1
1495.5
1660.9
Mm3
1660.9
Turkmenistan
 forecast
m3/sec
336.3
298.9
279.9
277.9
266.3
248.8
230.0
230.0
230.0
230.0
264.0
272.0
380.0
423.0
445.0
497.0
535.0
532.1
Mm3
5200.1
actual
m3/sec
375.9
329.9
315.0
304.3
293.7
277.0
238.4
238.4
238.4
240.5
240.5
240.5
330.3
414.7
458.3
486.1
516.1
479.1
Mm3
5229.5
variance
%
-11.8
-10.4
-12.5
-9.5
-10.3
-11.3
-3.7
-3.7
-3.7
-4.6
8.9
11.6
13.1
2.0
-3.0
2.2
3.5
10.0
%
-0.6
Mm3
-34.2
-61.0
-94.4
-117.2
-140.8
-165.2
-172.5
-179.7
-187.7
-196.8
-176.5
-146.5
-103.6
-96.5
-105.7
-96.3
-79.9
-29.5
Mm3
-29.5
Uzbekistan
 forecast
m3/sec
313.0
303.0
237.0
194.0
128.0
110.0
110.0
110.0
146.0
220.3
300.3
303.3
172.0
254.0
253.0
182.0
177.0
178.2
Mm3
3220.1
actual
m3/sec
286.5
298.4
283.9
254.6
202.7
182.0
173.6
176.5
166.2
182.7
272.1
287.3
225.3
204.4
210.3
255.8
214.5
186.7
Mm3
3554.4
variance
%
8.5
1.5
-19.8
-31.2
-58.4
-65.5
-57.8
-60.5
-13.8
17.1
9.4
5.3
-31.0
19.5
16.9
-40.5
-21.2
-4.8
%
-10.4
Mm3
22.9
26.9
-17.7
-70.1
-134.6
-196.8
-251.8
-309.2
-328.4
-295.9
-271.6
-256.4
-302.4
-259.6
-230.0
-293.8
-326.2
-334.3
Mm3
-334.3
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of release, lateral inflow and water withdrawal
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of water withdrawal by states
Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted]