Operative modes of the Kayrakum water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1994
Parametres |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
For vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
Inflow |
forecast | m3/sec |
880.0 |
878.0 |
737.0 |
929.0 |
929.0 |
804.0 |
613.0 |
539.0 |
527.0 |
498.0 |
533.0 |
590.0 |
450.0 |
424.0 |
396.0 |
480.0 |
552.0 |
568.0 |
Mm3 |
9941.2 |
| actual | m3/sec |
854.6 |
900.5 |
686.0 |
958.5 |
954.9 |
766.1 |
558.3 |
482.9 |
470.7 |
453.7 |
514.9 |
560.0 |
395.0 |
364.2 |
293.3 |
507.0 |
526.4 |
599.1 |
Mm3 |
9510.9 |
|
| variance | % |
2.9 |
-2.6 |
6.9 |
-3.2 |
-2.8 |
4.7 |
8.9 |
10.4 |
10.7 |
8.9 |
3.4 |
5.1 |
12.2 |
14.1 |
25.9 |
-5.6 |
4.6 |
-5.5 |
% |
4.3 |
|
Mm3 |
21.9 |
2.5 |
46.6 |
21.1 |
-1.3 |
34.7 |
82.0 |
130.5 |
179.1 |
217.4 |
233.0 |
261.5 |
309.1 |
360.7 |
458.4 |
435.0 |
457.1 |
430.3 |
Mm3 |
430.3 |
||
Volume |
planned | Mm3 |
3257.1 |
3192.6 |
2980.4 |
3083.4 |
3188.7 |
3182.1 |
2986.6 |
2713.2 |
2431.1 |
2157.7 |
1915.1 |
1691.5 |
1454.3 |
1223.0 |
1057.2 |
1104.9 |
1215.4 |
1332.9 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
3222.0 |
3203.0 |
2903.0 |
3144.0 |
3281.0 |
3212.0 |
2923.0 |
2498.0 |
2154.0 |
1813.0 |
1519.0 |
1224.0 |
911.0 |
644.0 |
580.0 |
815.0 |
1019.0 |
1197.0 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
1.1 |
-0.3 |
2.6 |
-2.0 |
-2.9 |
-0.9 |
2.1 |
7.9 |
11.4 |
16.0 |
20.7 |
27.6 |
37.4 |
47.3 |
45.1 |
26.2 |
16.2 |
10.2 |
% |
||
Release |
planned | m3/sec |
951.0 |
954.0 |
957.0 |
766.0 |
756.0 |
760.0 |
795.0 |
804.0 |
795.0 |
718.0 |
718.0 |
720.0 |
645.0 |
619.3 |
504.0 |
380.0 |
393.0 |
402.0 |
Mm3 |
11090.0 |
| actual | m3/sec |
823.1 |
925.3 |
1059.1 |
710.7 |
694.4 |
726.9 |
758.0 |
829.2 |
756.3 |
730.0 |
740.2 |
758.1 |
693.3 |
619.3 |
377.5 |
300.0 |
354.7 |
450.0 |
Mm3 |
10793.3 |
|
| variance | % |
13.4 |
3.0 |
-10.7 |
7.2 |
8.1 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
-3.1 |
4.9 |
-1.7 |
-3.1 |
-5.3 |
-7.5 |
0.0 |
25.1 |
21.1 |
9.7 |
-11.9 |
% |
2.7 |
|
Mm3 |
110.5 |
135.3 |
47.1 |
94.9 |
148.1 |
179.5 |
211.5 |
189.7 |
223.2 |
212.8 |
193.6 |
157.4 |
115.7 |
115.7 |
236.0 |
305.1 |
338.2 |
296.7 |
Mm3 |
296.7 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Kayrakum water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Kayrakum water reservoir |
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| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |