Volumes of releases, lateral inflow and water withdrawals at the Nurek-Tuyamuyn site.Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1994

Parameteres
April
May
June
July
August
September
For vegetation
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
Release from reservoir
 forecast
m3/sec
300.0
300.0
300.0
535.0
535.0
535.0
733.0
733.0
733.0
1100.0
1100.0
1100.0
865.0
865.0
865.0
551.0
551.0
551.0
Mm3
10801.7
actual
m3/sec
639.7
456.5
451.5
680.7
827.5
655.1
850.7
921.5
1091.9
1650.8
1662.3
1741.5
1989.7
1404.7
1630.8
1037.1
619.7
557.4
Mm3
16650.9
variance
%
-113.2
-52.2
-50.5
-27.2
-54.7
-22.4
-16.1
-25.7
-49.0
-50.1
-51.1
-58.3
-130.0
-62.4
-88.5
-88.2
-12.5
-1.2
%
-54.2
Mm3
-293.5
-428.7
-559.6
-685.5
-938.2
-1052.4
-1154.0
-1316.9
-1627.0
-2102.9
-2588.7
-3198.4
-4170.2
-4636.5
-5364.3
-5784.3
-5843.7
-5849.2
Mm3
-5849.2
Lateral inflow
 forecast
m3/sec
130.0
130.0
130.0
130.0
130.0
130.0
130.0
130.0
130.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
80.0
80.0
80.0
60.0
60.0
60.0
Mm3
1659.7
actual
m3/sec
145.5
138.1
132.7
110.5
111.5
101.4
129.4
121.5
124.1
64.1
63.2
60.2
69.0
68.0
66.6
57.0
61.3
57.2
Mm3
1472.4
variance
%
-11.9
-6.2
-2.1
15.0
14.2
22.0
0.5
6.5
4.5
35.9
36.8
39.8
13.8
15.0
16.8
5.0
-2.2
4.7
%
11.3
Mm3
-13.4
-20.4
-22.7
-5.9
10.1
37.3
37.8
45.2
50.3
81.3
113.1
150.9
160.4
170.8
183.5
186.1
185.0
187.4
Mm3
187.4
Water withdrawal, including
forecast
m3/sec
947.9
1004.8
1056.2
1182.9
1328.0
1502.4
1644.2
1707.4
1794.8
1870.8
1874.3
1851.2
1816.5
1724.8
1636.7
1369.5
1094.9
902.3
Mm3
23162.7
actual
m3/sec
806.4
883.3
1011.1
1262.4
1370.8
1422.2
1437.8
1531.0
1573.9
1856.8
1862.9
1882.3
1906.4
1867.0
1784.8
1416.2
1200.4
1203.4
Mm3
23144.8
variance
%
14.9
12.1
4.3
-6.7
-3.2
5.3
12.6
10.3
12.3
0.7
0.6
-1.7
-4.9
-8.2
-9.0
-3.4
-9.6
-33.4
%
0.1
Mm3
122.3
227.2
266.2
197.5
160.5
236.8
415.1
567.5
758.4
770.4
780.3
750.7
673.1
550.3
409.5
369.2
278.0
17.9
Mm3
17.9
Tadjikistan
 forecast
m3/sec
203.4
222.5
240.7
279.1
347.2
392.5
414.0
431.1
450.5
462.4
474.8
478.9
477.7
426.2
402.2
366.6
297.1
224.1
Mm3
5804.7
actual
m3/sec
149.3
152.8
218.9
305.1
339.4
359.6
380.8
388.7
392.9
427.0
460.8
468.9
457.6
432.6
410.3
338.2
301.2
278.7
Mm3
5518.1
variance
%
26.6
31.3
9.1
-9.3
2.2
8.4
8.0
9.8
12.8
7.7
2.9
2.1
4.2
-1.5
-2.0
7.7
-1.4
-24.4
%
4.9
Mm3
46.7
107.0
125.8
103.3
110.1
141.3
170.0
206.7
256.4
287.0
299.1
308.6
326.0
320.5
312.8
337.3
333.8
286.5
Mm3
286.5
Turkmenistan
 forecast
m3/sec
413.5
443.3
463.5
567.8
627.8
727.9
768.2
790.3
812.3
846.4
818.5
798.3
791.8
779.6
768.5
668.9
560.8
458.8
Mm3
10658.0
actual
m3/sec
413.7
438.2
462.6
586.5
597.5
594.5
600.3
645.4
671.9
895.2
857.3
867.4
873.3
869.1
861.2
661.0
617.4
609.1
Mm3
10673.7
variance
%
0.0
1.2
0.2
-3.3
4.8
18.3
21.9
18.3
17.3
-5.8
-4.7
-8.7
-10.3
-11.5
-12.1
1.2
-10.1
-32.8
%
-0.1
Mm3
-0.2
4.2
5.0
-11.1
15.0
141.8
286.9
412.1
533.4
491.2
457.7
392.0
321.6
244.3
156.2
163.0
114.2
-15.7
Mm3
-15.7
Uzbekistan
 forecast
m3/sec
331.0
339.0
352.0
336.0
353.0
382.0
462.0
486.0
532.0
562.0
581.0
574.0
547.0
519.0
466.0
334.0
237.0
219.4
Mm3
6700.0
actual
m3/sec
243.4
292.3
329.6
370.8
433.9
468.1
456.7
496.9
509.1
534.6
544.8
546.0
575.5
565.3
513.3
417.0
281.8
315.6
Mm3
6953.0
variance
%
26.5
13.8
6.4
-10.4
-22.9
-22.5
1.1
-2.2
4.3
4.9
6.2
4.9
-5.2
-8.9
-10.2
-24.9
-18.9
-43.8
%
-3.8
Mm3
75.7
116.0
135.4
105.3
35.4
-46.4
-41.8
-51.2
-31.5
-7.8
23.5
50.1
25.5
-14.5
-59.5
-131.2
-169.9
-253.0
Mm3
-253.0
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of release, lateral inflow and water withdrawal
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of water withdrawal by states
Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted]