Operative modes of the Nurek water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1994

Parametres
April
May
June
July
August
September
For vegetation
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
I
II
III
Inflow forecast m3/sec
400.0
400.0
400.0
700.0
700.0
700.0
1000.0
1000.0
1000.0
1329.0
1329.0
1329.0
865.0
865.0
865.0
433.0
433.0
433.0
Mm3
12502.4
actual m3/sec
313.1
296.6
568.3
812.5
991.5
1036.6
1100.0
1055.0
2152.0
2441.0
1827.0
1920.0
2086.0
1446.0
1072.7
577.0
612.5
612.5
Mm3
18423.3
variance %
21.7
25.9
-42.1
-16.1
-41.6
-48.1
-10.0
-5.5
-115.2
-83.7
-37.5
-44.5
-141.2
-67.2
-24.0
-33.3
-41.5
-41.5
%
-47.4
Mm3
75.1
164.4
19.0
-78.2
-330.0
-650.0
-736.4
-783.9
-1779.2
-2740.0
-3170.2
-3731.9
-4786.9
-5288.9
-5486.3
-5610.7
-5765.8
-5920.9
Mm3
-5920.9
Volume planned Mm3
5810.0
6080.0
6353.0
6580.0
6750.0
7004.0
7410.0
7960.0
8565.0
9070.0
9460.0
9881.0
10230.0
10340.0
10494.0
10500.0
10500.0
10500.0
Mm3
actual Mm3
5926.0
5860.0
6074.0
6284.0
6566.0
7093.0
7638.0
8033.0
8852.0
9547.0
9989.0
10354.0
10414.0
10500.0
10497.0
10468.0
10458.0
10350.0
Mm3
variance %
-2.0
3.6
4.4
4.5
2.7
-1.3
-3.1
-0.9
-3.4
-5.3
-5.6
-4.8
-1.8
-1.5
0.0
0.3
0.4
1.4
%
Release planned m3/sec
300.0
300.0
300.0
535.0
535.0
535.0
733.0
733.0
733.0
1100.0
1100.0
1100.0
865.0
865.0
865.0
551.0
551.0
551.0
Mm3
10801.7
actual m3/sec
639.7
456.5
451.5
680.7
827.5
655.1
850.7
921.5
1091.9
1650.8
1662.3
1741.5
1989.7
1404.7
1630.8
1037.1
619.7
557.4
Mm3
16650.9
variance %
-113.2
-52.2
-50.5
-27.2
-54.7
-22.4
-16.1
-25.7
-49.0
-50.1
-51.1
-58.3
-130.0
-62.4
-88.5
-88.2
-12.5
-1.2
%
-54.2
Mm3
-293.5
-428.7
-559.6
-685.5
-938.2
-1052.4
-1154.0
-1316.9
-1627.0
-2102.9
-2588.7
-3198.4
-4170.2
-4636.5
-5364.3
-5784.3
-5843.7
-5849.2
Mm3
-5849.2
Diagram of inflow and release in the Nurek water reservoir
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Nurek water reservoir
Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted]