Parametres |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
For vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
Release from reservoir |
forecast | m3/sec | 600.0 |
600.0 |
600.0 |
1450.0 |
1450.0 |
1450.0 |
2200.0 |
2200.0 |
2200.0 |
2400.0 |
2400.0 |
2400.0 |
2500.0 |
2500.0 |
2500.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
Mm3 |
26857.4 |
| actual | m3/sec | 1489.4 |
1230.2 |
651.7 |
969.8 |
1501.0 |
1567.7 |
1703.2 |
2203.0 |
2666.3 |
3771.0 |
3758.0 |
3962.2 |
3599.7 |
3128.3 |
2397.7 |
1957.7 |
1393.9 |
892.3 |
Mm3 |
34245.4 |
|
| variance | % | -148.2 |
-105.0 |
-8.6 |
33.1 |
-3.5 |
-8.1 |
22.6 |
-0.1 |
-21.2 |
-57.1 |
-56.6 |
-65.1 |
-44.0 |
-25.1 |
4.1 |
-95.8 |
-39.4 |
10.8 |
% |
-27.5 |
|
| Mm3 | -768.4 |
-1312.9 |
-1357.6 |
-942.7 |
-986.8 |
-1098.7 |
-669.4 |
-672.0 |
-1074.9 |
-2259.4 |
-3432.8 |
-4917.5 |
-5867.6 |
-6410.4 |
-6313.2 |
-7140.7 |
-7481.0 |
-7388.0 |
Mm3 |
-7388.0 |
||
Lateral inflow |
forecast | m3/sec | 25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
Mm3 |
342.6 |
| actual | m3/sec | 20.2 |
20.2 |
20.2 |
14.4 |
14.4 |
14.4 |
14.4 |
14.6 |
14.6 |
17.1 |
17.1 |
17.1 |
19.7 |
19.7 |
19.7 |
16.4 |
16.4 |
16.4 |
Mm3 |
269.7 |
|
| variance | % | 19.2 |
19.2 |
19.2 |
42.4 |
42.4 |
42.4 |
28.0 |
27.0 |
27.0 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
18.0 |
18.0 |
18.0 |
% |
21.3 |
|
| Mm3 | 4.1 |
8.3 |
12.4 |
21.6 |
30.8 |
40.8 |
45.7 |
50.3 |
55.0 |
57.5 |
60.0 |
62.8 |
63.0 |
63.3 |
63.6 |
66.7 |
69.8 |
72.9 |
Mm3 |
72.9 |
||
Water withdrawal, including |
forecast | m3/sec | 2.6 |
166.3 |
604.5 |
824.6 |
973.6 |
1036.4 |
1128.3 |
1267.7 |
1347.5 |
1607.2 |
1683.1 |
1641.8 |
1483.9 |
1375.3 |
1087.6 |
510.2 |
242.5 |
38.5 |
Mm3 |
15032.0 |
| actual | m3/sec | 26.8 |
280.7 |
311.0 |
706.3 |
1052.7 |
1160.3 |
1362.4 |
1425.3 |
1486.2 |
1607.9 |
1715.4 |
1667.0 |
1518.0 |
1422.5 |
1130.1 |
383.1 |
358.2 |
354.6 |
Mm3 |
15866.8 |
|
| variance | % | -929.6 |
-68.8 |
48.6 |
14.3 |
-8.1 |
-12.0 |
-20.7 |
-12.4 |
-10.3 |
0.0 |
-1.9 |
-1.5 |
-2.3 |
-3.4 |
-3.9 |
24.9 |
-47.7 |
-821.1 |
% |
-5.6 |
|
| Mm3 | -20.9 |
-119.7 |
133.9 |
236.1 |
167.8 |
50.0 |
-152.2 |
-288.4 |
-408.2 |
-408.8 |
-436.8 |
-460.7 |
-490.2 |
-531.0 |
-571.4 |
-461.6 |
-561.6 |
-834.8 |
Mm3 |
-834.8 |
||
Turkmenistan |
forecast | m3/sec | 2.6 |
65.8 |
184.5 |
254.6 |
280.0 |
314.4 |
369.3 |
431.7 |
468.5 |
518.2 |
549.1 |
539.8 |
474.9 |
428.3 |
427.6 |
238.3 |
133.7 |
14.6 |
Mm3 |
5032.0 |
| actual | m3/sec | 1.0 |
254.9 |
174.0 |
250.2 |
293.4 |
318.8 |
383.8 |
430.2 |
438.0 |
504.2 |
543.1 |
551.4 |
536.6 |
535.6 |
512.0 |
275.8 |
252.1 |
249.8 |
Mm3 |
5739.4 |
|
| variance | % | 61.5 |
-287.4 |
5.7 |
1.7 |
-4.8 |
-1.4 |
-3.9 |
0.3 |
6.5 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
-2.1 |
-13.0 |
-25.0 |
-19.7 |
-15.7 |
-88.6 |
-1611.0 |
% |
-14.1 |
|
| Mm3 | 1.4 |
-162.0 |
-152.9 |
-149.1 |
-160.7 |
-164.9 |
-177.4 |
-176.1 |
-149.8 |
-137.6 |
-132.4 |
-143.4 |
-196.6 |
-289.3 |
-369.5 |
-401.9 |
-504.2 |
-707.4 |
Mm3 |
-707.4 |
||
Uzbekistan |
forecast | m3/sec | 0.0 |
100.5 |
420.0 |
570.0 |
693.6 |
722.0 |
759.0 |
836.0 |
879.0 |
1089.0 |
1134.0 |
1102.0 |
1009.0 |
947.0 |
660.0 |
271.9 |
108.8 |
23.9 |
Mm3 |
10000.0 |
| actual | m3/sec | 25.8 |
25.8 |
137.0 |
456.1 |
759.3 |
841.5 |
978.6 |
995.1 |
1048.2 |
1103.8 |
1172.4 |
1115.7 |
981.5 |
887.0 |
618.2 |
107.3 |
106.1 |
104.8 |
Mm3 |
10127.4 |
|
| variance | % | 74.4 |
67.4 |
20.0 |
-9.5 |
-16.6 |
-28.9 |
-19.0 |
-19.2 |
-1.4 |
-3.4 |
-1.2 |
2.7 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
60.5 |
2.4 |
-338.7 |
% |
-1.3 |
||
| Mm3 | -22.3 |
42.3 |
286.8 |
385.2 |
328.5 |
214.9 |
25.2 |
-112.3 |
-258.5 |
-271.2 |
-304.4 |
-317.3 |
-293.5 |
-241.7 |
-201.9 |
-59.8 |
-57.5 |
-127.4 |
Mm3 |
-127.4 |
||
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of release, lateral inflow and water withdrawal |
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of water withdrawal by states |
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 |
| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |