Operative modes of the Kayrakum water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1995
Parametres |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
For vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
Inflow |
forecast | m3/sec |
452.0 |
456.0 |
454.0 |
365.4 |
365.0 |
363.0 |
337.0 |
331.0 |
346.0 |
562.0 |
566.0 |
564.0 |
555.0 |
516.0 |
315.0 |
244.0 |
242.0 |
250.2 |
Mm3 |
6400.3 |
| actual | m3/sec |
471.6 |
489.5 |
403.9 |
365.4 |
304.3 |
241.5 |
228.8 |
190.7 |
317.6 |
423.6 |
465.1 |
611.0 |
484.6 |
229.2 |
201.9 |
191.8 |
200.5 |
250.2 |
Mm3 |
5336.7 |
|
| variance | % |
-4.3 |
-7.3 |
11.0 |
0.0 |
16.6 |
33.5 |
32.1 |
42.4 |
8.2 |
24.6 |
17.8 |
-8.3 |
12.7 |
55.6 |
35.9 |
21.4 |
17.1 |
0.0 |
% |
16.6 |
|
Mm3 |
-16.9 |
-45.9 |
-2.6 |
-2.6 |
49.9 |
165.3 |
258.8 |
380.0 |
404.5 |
524.1 |
611.3 |
566.6 |
627.4 |
875.2 |
982.7 |
1027.8 |
1063.7 |
1063.7 |
Mm3 |
1063.7 |
||
Volume |
planned | Mm3 |
3058.3 |
3037.1 |
2996.8 |
2904.8 |
2806.2 |
2700.8 |
2590.9 |
2470.4 |
2329.1 |
2234.5 |
2101.6 |
1923.9 |
1823.7 |
1807.8 |
1741.8 |
1698.8 |
1678.0 |
1665.1 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
2820.0 |
2771.0 |
2786.0 |
2658.0 |
2510.0 |
2326.0 |
2074.0 |
1787.0 |
1642.0 |
1435.0 |
1237.0 |
1123.0 |
978.0 |
752.0 |
671.0 |
642.0 |
627.0 |
662.0 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
7.8 |
8.8 |
7.0 |
8.5 |
10.6 |
13.9 |
19.9 |
27.7 |
29.5 |
35.8 |
41.1 |
41.6 |
46.4 |
58.4 |
61.5 |
62.2 |
62.6 |
60.2 |
% |
||
Release |
planned | m3/sec |
488.0 |
482.0 |
475.0 |
428.0 |
428.0 |
423.0 |
420.0 |
419.0 |
451.0 |
575.0 |
624.0 |
645.8 |
591.4 |
462.0 |
318.0 |
249.0 |
235.0 |
235.0 |
Mm3 |
6987.9 |
| actual | m3/sec |
640.1 |
504.9 |
375.0 |
406.0 |
395.8 |
390.0 |
390.0 |
390.0 |
419.2 |
534.1 |
563.0 |
645.8 |
591.4 |
405.6 |
284.6 |
221.5 |
196.2 |
200.0 |
Mm3 |
6640.1 |
|
| variance | % |
-31.2 |
-4.8 |
21.1 |
5.1 |
7.5 |
7.8 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
7.1 |
7.1 |
9.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
12.2 |
10.5 |
11.0 |
16.5 |
14.9 |
% |
5.0 |
|
Mm3 |
-131.4 |
-151.2 |
-64.8 |
-45.8 |
-18.0 |
13.4 |
39.3 |
64.4 |
91.8 |
127.2 |
179.9 |
179.9 |
179.9 |
228.6 |
260.3 |
284.1 |
317.6 |
347.8 |
Mm3 |
347.8 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Kayrakum water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Kayrakum water reservoir |
![]() |
![]() |
| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |