Operative modes of the Nurek water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1995
Parametres |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
For vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
| Inflow | forecast | m3/sec |
400.0 |
400.0 |
400.0 |
700.0 |
700.0 |
700.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1300.0 |
1300.0 |
1300.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
700.0 |
700.0 |
700.0 |
Mm3 |
13478.4 |
| actual | m3/sec |
330.9 |
280.6 |
292.5 |
506.1 |
689.5 |
664.2 |
733.2 |
1166.9 |
945.0 |
1240.0 |
1539.5 |
1353.6 |
1203.0 |
1145.2 |
1320.1 |
672.2 |
443.2 |
443.2 |
Mm3 |
13221.6 |
|
| variance | % |
17.3 |
29.9 |
26.9 |
27.7 |
1.5 |
5.1 |
26.7 |
-16.7 |
5.5 |
4.6 |
-18.4 |
-4.1 |
-20.3 |
-14.5 |
-32.0 |
4.0 |
36.7 |
36.7 |
% |
1.9 |
|
Mm3 |
59.7 |
162.9 |
255.7 |
423.3 |
432.3 |
466.4 |
696.9 |
552.7 |
600.2 |
652.0 |
445.1 |
394.1 |
218.7 |
93.3 |
-210.9 |
-186.9 |
35.0 |
256.8 |
Mm3 |
256.8 |
||
| Volume | planned | Mm3 |
5810.0 |
6080.0 |
6353.0 |
6580.0 |
6750.0 |
7004.0 |
7410.0 |
7960.0 |
8565.0 |
9070.0 |
9460.0 |
9881.0 |
10230.0 |
10340.0 |
10494.0 |
10500.0 |
10500.0 |
10500.0 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
5778.0 |
5804.0 |
5924.0 |
6202.0 |
6427.0 |
6289.0 |
6253.0 |
6568.0 |
6925.0 |
7687.0 |
8511.0 |
9355.0 |
10056.0 |
10471.0 |
10512.0 |
10491.0 |
10458.0 |
10493.0 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
0.6 |
4.5 |
6.8 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
10.2 |
15.6 |
17.5 |
19.1 |
15.2 |
10.0 |
5.3 |
1.7 |
-1.3 |
-0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
% |
||
| Release | planned | m3/sec |
350.0 |
350.0 |
350.0 |
550.0 |
550.0 |
550.0 |
700.0 |
700.0 |
700.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
900.0 |
900.0 |
900.0 |
800.0 |
800.0 |
800.0 |
Mm3 |
11357.3 |
| actual | m3/sec |
310.2 |
363.1 |
408.3 |
452.2 |
606.9 |
689.2 |
685.7 |
759.6 |
694.8 |
697.6 |
688.6 |
651.0 |
630.8 |
1082.2 |
1248.9 |
770.6 |
613.0 |
533.9 |
Mm3 |
10493.7 |
|
| variance | % |
11.4 |
-3.7 |
-16.7 |
17.8 |
-10.3 |
-25.3 |
2.0 |
-8.5 |
0.7 |
30.2 |
31.1 |
34.9 |
29.9 |
-20.2 |
-38.8 |
3.7 |
23.4 |
33.3 |
% |
7.6 |
|
Mm3 |
34.4 |
23.1 |
-27.3 |
57.2 |
8.0 |
-124.2 |
-111.9 |
-163.4 |
-158.9 |
102.4 |
371.4 |
703.1 |
935.7 |
778.3 |
446.7 |
472.1 |
633.7 |
863.6 |
Mm3 |
863.6 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Nurek water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Nurek water reservoir |
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| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |