Parametres |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
For vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
Release from reservoir |
forecast | m3/sec |
400.0 |
400.0 |
500.0 |
1200.0 |
1200.0 |
1200.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1800.0 |
2000.0 |
2200.0 |
2000.0 |
2000.0 |
2000.0 |
1200.0 |
1200.0 |
1200.0 |
Mm3 |
20770.6 |
| actual | m3/sec |
364.3 |
298.8 |
556.7 |
996.5 |
1103.2 |
1229.3 |
1040.8 |
906.6 |
1659.0 |
1644.6 |
1878.1 |
2028.2 |
1929.8 |
1735.0 |
1262.3 |
879.2 |
647.4 |
657.9 |
Mm3 |
18376.9 |
|
| variance | % |
8.9 |
25.3 |
-11.3 |
17.0 |
8.1 |
-2.4 |
-4.1 |
9.3 |
-65.9 |
8.6 |
6.1 |
7.8 |
3.5 |
13.3 |
36.9 |
26.7 |
46.1 |
45.2 |
% |
11.5 |
|
Mm3 |
30.8 |
118.3 |
69.3 |
245.1 |
328.8 |
300.9 |
265.7 |
346.4 |
-223.0 |
-88.7 |
16.6 |
179.9 |
240.5 |
469.5 |
1170.6 |
1447.8 |
1925.3 |
2393.6 |
Mm3 |
2393.6 |
||
Lateral inflow |
forecast | m3/sec |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
20.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
Mm3 |
276.5 |
| actual | m3/sec |
15.8 |
15.6 |
15.8 |
12.4 |
12.4 |
12.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
9.1 |
9.1 |
9.1 |
13.3 |
13.3 |
13.3 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
Mm3 |
176.5 |
|
| variance | % |
21.0 |
22.0 |
21.0 |
38.0 |
38.0 |
38.0 |
58.0 |
58.0 |
58.0 |
39.3 |
39.3 |
39.3 |
11.3 |
11.3 |
11.3 |
46.7 |
46.7 |
46.7 |
% |
36.2 |
|
Mm3 |
3.6 |
7.4 |
11.1 |
17.6 |
24.2 |
31.4 |
41.4 |
51.5 |
61.5 |
66.6 |
71.7 |
77.3 |
78.8 |
80.2 |
81.8 |
87.9 |
93.9 |
100.0 |
Mm3 |
100.0 |
||
Water withdrawal, including |
forecast | m3/sec |
295.0 |
347.1 |
655.7 |
828.3 |
962.7 |
1008.2 |
1109.0 |
1251.5 |
1314.2 |
1471.0 |
1530.7 |
1499.9 |
1460.4 |
1371.6 |
1087.2 |
423.2 |
140.3 |
52.4 |
Mm3 |
14833.1 |
| actual | m3/sec |
253.8 |
265.4 |
335.4 |
686.6 |
820.5 |
904.6 |
903.2 |
647.0 |
1337.4 |
1336.5 |
1363.4 |
1522.3 |
1498.2 |
1412.8 |
1070.3 |
773.7 |
528.9 |
469.1 |
Mm3 |
14237.7 |
|
| variance | % |
14.0 |
23.5 |
48.8 |
17.1 |
14.8 |
10.3 |
18.6 |
48.3 |
-1.8 |
9.1 |
10.9 |
-1.5 |
-2.6 |
-3.0 |
1.6 |
-82.8 |
-277.0 |
-795.2 |
% |
4.0 |
|
Mm3 |
35.6 |
106.2 |
382.9 |
505.4 |
628.2 |
726.7 |
904.5 |
1426.8 |
1406.7 |
1522.9 |
1667.5 |
1646.2 |
1613.5 |
1577.9 |
1594.0 |
1291.2 |
955.4 |
595.4 |
Mm3 |
595.4 |
||
Turkmenistan |
forecast | m3/sec |
167.0 |
109.6 |
232.7 |
255.3 |
266.1 |
283.2 |
347.0 |
412.5 |
432.2 |
445.0 |
465.7 |
461.9 |
453.4 |
421.6 |
424.2 |
171.8 |
89.0 |
38.7 |
Mm3 |
4833.1 |
| actual | m3/sec |
181.1 |
100.3 |
125.2 |
249.5 |
269.3 |
301.5 |
265.1 |
208.4 |
412.3 |
435.3 |
465.4 |
529.3 |
523.0 |
521.5 |
468.9 |
368.7 |
290.0 |
231.0 |
Mm3 |
5249.5 |
|
| variance | % |
-8.4 |
8.5 |
46.2 |
2.3 |
-1.2 |
-6.5 |
23.6 |
49.5 |
4.6 |
2.2 |
0.1 |
-14.6 |
-15.4 |
-23.7 |
-10.5 |
-114.6 |
-225.8 |
-496.9 |
% |
-8.6 |
|
Mm3 |
-12.2 |
-4.1 |
88.7 |
93.7 |
91.0 |
73.6 |
144.3 |
320.7 |
337.9 |
346.3 |
346.5 |
282.5 |
222.3 |
136.0 |
93.5 |
-76.6 |
-250.2 |
-416.4 |
Mm3 |
-416.4 |
||
Uzbekistan |
forecast | m3/sec |
128.0 |
237.5 |
423.0 |
573.0 |
696.6 |
725.0 |
762.0 |
839.0 |
882.0 |
1026.0 |
1065.0 |
1038.0 |
1007.0 |
950.0 |
663.0 |
251.4 |
51.3 |
13.7 |
Mm3 |
10000.0 |
| actual | m3/sec |
72.7 |
165.1 |
210.2 |
437.1 |
551.2 |
603.1 |
638.1 |
438.6 |
925.1 |
901.2 |
898.0 |
993.0 |
975.2 |
891.3 |
601.4 |
405.0 |
238.9 |
238.1 |
Mm3 |
8988.2 |
|
| variance | % |
43.2 |
30.5 |
50.3 |
23.7 |
20.9 |
16.8 |
16.3 |
47.7 |
-4.9 |
12.2 |
15.7 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
6.2 |
9.3 |
-61.1 |
-365.7 |
-1638.0 |
% |
10.1 |
|
Mm3 |
47.8 |
110.3 |
294.2 |
411.6 |
537.2 |
653.1 |
760.1 |
1106.1 |
1068.8 |
1176.7 |
1321.0 |
1363.7 |
1391.2 |
1441.9 |
1500.5 |
1367.8 |
1205.7 |
1011.8 |
Mm3 |
1011.8 |
||
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of release, lateral inflow and water withdrawal |
Diagram of variances between planned and actual values of water withdrawal by states |
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 |
| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |