Operative modes of the Nurek water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for vegetation period 1996
Parametres |
April |
May |
June |
July |
August |
September |
For vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
| Inflow | forecast | m3/sec |
400.0 |
400.0 |
400.0 |
700.0 |
700.0 |
700.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1000.0 |
1329.0 |
1329.0 |
1329.0 |
865.0 |
865.0 |
865.0 |
433.0 |
433.0 |
433.0 |
Mm3 |
12502.4 |
| actual | m3/sec |
166.2 |
265.3 |
618.9 |
610.9 |
690.4 |
849.7 |
1111.6 |
1494.0 |
1542.8 |
1340.0 |
1236.9 |
1484.1 |
1877.1 |
1598.3 |
1021.5 |
790.2 |
785.0 |
785.0 |
Mm3 |
16073.4 |
|
| variance | % |
58.5 |
33.7 |
-54.7 |
12.7 |
1.4 |
-21.4 |
-11.2 |
-49.4 |
-54.3 |
-0.8 |
6.9 |
-11.7 |
-117.0 |
-84.8 |
-18.1 |
-82.5 |
-81.3 |
-81.3 |
% |
-28.6 |
|
Mm3 |
202.0 |
318.4 |
129.3 |
206.2 |
214.5 |
72.3 |
-24.2 |
-451.0 |
-920.0 |
-929.5 |
-849.9 |
-997.3 |
-1871.7 |
-2505.3 |
-2654.1 |
-2962.7 |
-3266.8 |
-3571.0 |
Mm3 |
-3571.0 |
||
| Volume | planned | Mm3 |
5810.0 |
6080.0 |
6353.0 |
6580.0 |
6750.0 |
7004.0 |
7410.0 |
7960.0 |
8565.0 |
9070.0 |
9460.0 |
9881.0 |
10230.0 |
10340.0 |
10494.0 |
10500.0 |
10500.0 |
10500.0 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
5763.0 |
6096.0 |
6471.0 |
6451.0 |
6459.0 |
6722.0 |
7159.0 |
7798.0 |
8499.0 |
9075.0 |
9449.0 |
10070.0 |
10301.0 |
10451.0 |
10549.0 |
10559.0 |
10563.0 |
10545.0 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
0.8 |
-0.3 |
-1.9 |
2.0 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
-1.9 |
-0.7 |
-1.1 |
-0.5 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.4 |
% |
||
| Release | planned | m3/sec |
300.0 |
300.0 |
300.0 |
535.0 |
535.0 |
535.0 |
733.0 |
733.0 |
733.0 |
1100.0 |
1100.0 |
1100.0 |
865.0 |
865.0 |
865.0 |
551.0 |
551.0 |
551.0 |
Mm3 |
10801.7 |
| actual | m3/sec |
376.7 |
219.1 |
424.9 |
622.3 |
687.9 |
692.7 |
700.0 |
704.4 |
730.5 |
771.3 |
693.1 |
836.3 |
1589.9 |
1296.2 |
838.9 |
785.8 |
782.5 |
670.1 |
Mm3 |
11801.7 |
|
| variance | % |
-25.6 |
27.0 |
-41.6 |
-16.3 |
-28.6 |
-29.5 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
0.3 |
29.9 |
37.0 |
24.0 |
-83.8 |
-49.8 |
3.0 |
-42.6 |
-42.0 |
-21.6 |
% |
-9.3 |
|
Mm3 |
-66.3 |
3.6 |
-104.3 |
-179.7 |
-311.8 |
-461.7 |
-433.2 |
-408.5 |
-406.3 |
-122.3 |
229.2 |
479.9 |
-146.4 |
-519.0 |
-494.2 |
-697.1 |
-897.1 |
-1000.0 |
Mm3 |
-1000.0 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Nurek water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Nurek water reservoir |
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| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |