Operative modes of the Kayrakum water reservoir. Comparison of planned and actual values for non-vegetation period 1997-1998
Параматры |
October |
November |
December |
January |
February |
March |
for non-vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
Inflow |
forecast | m3/sec |
532.2 |
648.5 |
581.2 |
646.7 |
715.4 |
787.9 |
846.3 |
967.3 |
948.3 |
997.4 |
942.7 |
911.5 |
955.7 |
1024.8 |
996.5 |
679.0 |
606.5 |
596.1 |
Mm3 |
12517.9 |
| actual | m3/sec |
232.9 |
255.4 |
253.9 |
407.5 |
612.2 |
782.9 |
833.8 |
728.2 |
860.4 |
841.7 |
819.2 |
815.1 |
765.7 |
939.2 |
868.8 |
859.0 |
709.1 |
539.2 |
Mm3 |
10538.4 |
|
| variance | % |
56.2 |
60.6 |
56.3 |
37.0 |
14.4 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
24.7 |
9.3 |
15.6 |
13.1 |
10.6 |
19.9 |
8.4 |
12.8 |
-26.5 |
-16.9 |
9.5 |
% |
15.8 |
|
Mm3 |
258.6 |
598.2 |
909.3 |
1116.0 |
1205.1 |
1209.5 |
1220.3 |
1426.8 |
1510.4 |
1644.9 |
1751.5 |
1843.1 |
2007.3 |
2081.3 |
2169.6 |
2014.1 |
1925.4 |
1979.5 |
Mm3 |
1979.5 |
||
Volume |
planned | Mm3 |
1830.9 |
1993.1 |
2076.4 |
2164.7 |
2244.6 |
2336.0 |
2443.2 |
2579.6 |
2690.9 |
2828.3 |
2909.8 |
2980.6 |
3085.8 |
3261.2 |
3391.7 |
3354.7 |
3330.6 |
3358.8 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
1723.0 |
1748.0 |
1693.0 |
1661.0 |
1800.0 |
2050.0 |
2346.0 |
2502.0 |
2731.0 |
2810.0 |
2967.0 |
3075.0 |
3188.0 |
3345.0 |
3443.0 |
3443.0 |
3320.0 |
3178.0 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
5.9 |
12.3 |
18.5 |
23.3 |
19.8 |
12.2 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
-1.5 |
0.6 |
-2.0 |
-3.2 |
-3.3 |
-2.6 |
-1.5 |
-2.6 |
0.3 |
5.4 |
% |
||
Release |
planned | m3/sec |
440.0 |
472.0 |
509.0 |
560.0 |
632.0 |
703.0 |
741.0 |
825.0 |
846.0 |
855.0 |
859.0 |
855.0 |
855.0 |
840.0 |
825.0 |
741.0 |
653.0 |
581.0 |
Mm3 |
11150.9 |
| actual | m3/sec |
199.3 |
214.7 |
344.3 |
450.0 |
483.7 |
524.8 |
585.6 |
643.7 |
698.4 |
878.3 |
866.8 |
793.0 |
865.0 |
860.1 |
948.0 |
1057.3 |
1049.3 |
825.2 |
Mm3 |
10682.4 |
|
| variance | % |
54.7 |
54.5 |
32.4 |
19.6 |
23.5 |
25.3 |
21.0 |
22.0 |
17.5 |
-2.7 |
-0.9 |
7.3 |
-1.2 |
-2.4 |
-14.9 |
-42.7 |
-60.7 |
-42.0 |
% |
4.2 |
|
Mm3 |
208.0 |
430.3 |
586.8 |
681.9 |
810.0 |
964.0 |
1098.2 |
1254.9 |
1395.2 |
1375.1 |
1368.3 |
1427.2 |
1418.6 |
1401.2 |
1316.2 |
1042.9 |
700.5 |
468.5 |
Mm3 |
468.5 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Kayrakum water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Kayrakum water reservoir |
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| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |