Parametres |
October |
November |
December |
January |
February |
March |
for non-vegetation |
|||||||||||||||
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
I |
II |
III |
|||||
| Inflow | forecast | m3/sec |
342.0 |
342.0 |
342.0 |
249.0 |
249.0 |
249.0 |
203.0 |
203.0 |
203.0 |
177.0 |
177.0 |
177.0 |
165.0 |
165.0 |
165.0 |
196.0 |
196.0 |
196.0 |
Mm3 |
3503.3 |
| actual | m3/sec |
464.7 |
345.0 |
234.4 |
241.3 |
202.3 |
185.8 |
175.5 |
201.0 |
189.4 |
88.6 |
184.9 |
88.0 |
141.4 |
156.5 |
197.5 |
114.2 |
217.7 |
217.7 |
Mm3 |
3178.9 |
|
| variance | % |
-35.9 |
-0.9 |
31.5 |
3.1 |
18.8 |
25.4 |
13.5 |
1.0 |
6.7 |
49.9 |
-4.5 |
50.3 |
14.3 |
5.1 |
-19.7 |
41.7 |
-11.1 |
-11.1 |
% |
9.3 |
|
Mm3 |
-106.0 |
-108.6 |
-6.3 |
0.3 |
40.7 |
95.3 |
119.1 |
120.8 |
133.7 |
210.1 |
203.3 |
287.8 |
308.2 |
315.6 |
293.1 |
363.7 |
345.0 |
324.4 |
Mm3 |
324.4 |
||
| Volume | planned | Mm3 |
10470 |
10320 |
10085 |
9860 |
9560 |
9356 |
9000 |
8690 |
8426 |
8030 |
7830 |
7511 |
7070 |
6800 |
6569 |
6200 |
6050 |
5949 |
Mm3 |
|
| actual | Mm3 |
10494 |
10331 |
10153 |
9938 |
9699 |
9405 |
9104 |
8792 |
8312 |
7770 |
7300 |
6934 |
6588 |
6280 |
5932 |
5841 |
5879 |
6100 |
Mm3 |
||
| variance | % |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-1.5 |
-0.5 |
-1.2 |
-1.2 |
1.4 |
3.2 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
6.8 |
7.6 |
9.7 |
5.8 |
2.8 |
-2.5 |
% |
||
| Release | planned | m3/sec |
475.0 |
475.0 |
475.0 |
513.0 |
513.0 |
513.0 |
530.0 |
530.0 |
530.0 |
504.0 |
504.0 |
504.0 |
500.0 |
500.0 |
500.0 |
380.0 |
380.0 |
380.0 |
Mm3 |
7598.8 |
| actual | m3/sec |
516.9 |
504.5 |
450.6 |
487.1 |
487.1 |
531.7 |
540.8 |
557.0 |
568.4 |
642.0 |
641.0 |
635.0 |
639.0 |
562.0 |
517.0 |
494.0 |
467.0 |
324.0 |
Mm3 |
8345.8 |
|
| variance | % |
-8.8 |
-6.2 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
-3.6 |
-2.0 |
-5.1 |
-7.2 |
-27.4 |
-27.2 |
-26.0 |
-27.8 |
-12.4 |
-3.4 |
-30.0 |
-22.9 |
14.7 |
% |
-9.8 |
|
Mm3 |
-36.2 |
-61.7 |
-38.5 |
-16.2 |
6.2 |
-9.9 |
-19.3 |
-42.6 |
-79.1 |
-198.3 |
-316.7 |
-441.2 |
-561.3 |
-614.8 |
-626.6 |
-725.1 |
-800.2 |
-747.0 |
Mm3 |
-747.0 |
||
Diagram of inflow and release in the Nurek water reservoir |
Diagram of volumes deviations in the Nurek water reservoir |
 |
 |
| Note: variance is calculated using the followingformula: 100 * (planned [predicted] - actual) / planned [predicted] | |