Based on a series of simulations ran through sophisticated computer models, researchers from MIT are highlighting the possibility that a significant percentage of the population of Asia could suffer severe water shortages by the year 2050. As a basis for the study, the team made use of a pre-existing MIT-generated computer model designed to simulate Asia’s complex economic, climate, and growth characteristics. A detailed water-use model known as a Water Resource System was then introduced, and the team ran a number of simulations aiming to cover the widest range of potential scenarios.
According to the study, an extra one billion people living in Asia could experience water stress by the year 2050
Each of the simulations tested the key variables by holding steady one or more of the factors while allowing another, such as population growth, to increase in line with predicted numbers. Each of the scenarios also accounted for, amongst a host of other factors, the interconnected nature of the water supply in the affected regions. For example, if climate change or any other contributing element causes the water basin at the top of a network to go unfilled, other basins further down the network that would ordinarily be fed by the primary basin suffer in kind. Read more
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